A lot of factors play into the answer, and it depends on each person’s health, what they do for a living and where they live.
That means continuing to wear masks, socially distance, avoid large gatherings and regularly wash your hands.
You have more questions; here are more answers:
Who is getting vaccinated first?
Who is an essential worker?
The ACIP defines frontline essential workers as anyone employed in “sectors essential to the functioning of society (who) are at substantially higher risk of exposure” to the coronavirus. Besides first responders, that includes those working in education and child care, food and agriculture, manufacturing, corrections, the US Postal Service, public transit and grocery stores. There are roughly 30 million people in this category.
Other essential workers, according to ACIP, are people working in transportation, logistics, food service, construction, housing, finance, information technology, communications, energy, sanitation, media, law, public health and the water/wastewater industries. The category encompasses about 57 million Americans.
When will the general public get the vaccine?
This is a moving target that will be dictated by numerous variables. Dr. Vivek Murthy, Biden’s nominee for surgeon general, said he believes it may take until late spring to finish vaccinating high-risk populations, if all goes according to plan. That means mid-summer may be a “realistic” timeline for the general public to begin vaccinations, he told NBC.
“If everything goes well, we may see a circumstance where, by late spring, people who are in lower risk categories can get this vaccine,” he said, “but that would really require everything to go exactly on schedule. I think it’s more realistic to assume that it may be closer to mid-summer, early fall when this vaccine makes its way to the general population.”
A recent ACIP chart indicated the general public may start getting the vaccine in about 20 weeks — putting the target in May — which is “kind of in line with what I was thinking, too,” Hannan said.
Because states will handle rollouts differently, Hannan says it’s a good idea for people to monitor state health department websites for specifics. Some states are setting up “public-facing dashboards,” and she expects others will allow residents to sign up for updates, she said.
What factors drive the rollout phases?
The two main factors are supply and demand — essentially, how much vaccine is available and how many people receive it, Hannan said.
While Pfizer/BioNTech’s and Moderna’s vaccines have already received emergency use approval, Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca have vaccines in the works, which if approved, would increase supply, she said.
On the demand side, it will depend how many people in the first vaccination phases line up for injections. If the numbers are high in the priority groups, it will take longer to move to the general public phase, Hannan said.
“So far, it does look like there is high demand, that health care workers are excited to get the vaccine. They’re lining up to get it. They’re posting pictures of themselves getting it,” she said.
Health professionals don’t want doses sitting around unused, so there will be disparities from state to state. For instance, she said, if priority groups in one state are more hesitant to get vaccinated, it may reach the general public faster because the state will move to the next phase to utilize the doses it has on hand.
What power do states have?
The vaccine providers have committed to following ACIP guidelines, but there is leeway, Hannan said.
“States will give their own guidance, and just by virtue of where they send the vaccine, states are making decisions about who is getting it first,” she said.
ACIP provides “the compass that everyone is following,” she said, but states have discretion when it comes to matters like underlying conditions and essential workers. One state might choose, based on its circumstances, to prioritize the elderly or long-term care facilities over health care workers.
“The categories are broad enough for states to be more focused or less focused on certain populations,” she said.
With doses limited, as they are now, observers aren’t seeing much variation from state to state, but disparities will be more apparent as the vaccine becomes more available.
Who is making decisions at the state level?
It will ultimately fall on state governors to make calls on who gets the vaccinations and when, Hannan said.
However, most states have advisory committees or tasks forces in their health and preparedness agencies that will provide recommendations to governors.
State officials can also lean on ACIP guidance, and the CDC has a jurisdictional playbook, which the National Association of County and City Health Officials says outlines the “strategy for delivering and administering a COVID-19 vaccine as quickly and efficiently as possible.”
“It’s difficult for governors to stray too far,” Hannan said. “Hopefully, we won’t see it get political.”
Gov. Ron DeSantis, appearing at a Tuesday vaccination press event in The Villages, a central Florida retirement community, flouted the CDC guidelines, saying the state wasn’t bound to follow them.
“If you’re a 22-year-old working in a food services — let’s say at a supermarket — you would have preference over a 74-year-old grandmother. I don’t think that that is the direction that we want to go.”
What if people try to cut the line?
It’s a matter each state will have to handle individually, Hannan said, but in the grand scheme of a nationwide vaccination campaign, it isn’t the most troubling concern.
On one hand, it’s an indicator of high demand, which means more vaccine acceptance, she said. On the other hand, those administering the vaccine have enough to worry about without being burdened with checking everyone’s identification, occupation or medical history. It’s all a matter of balance, she said.
“We don’t want to be turning people away, and we don’t want vaccine sitting around,” she said. “States are going to have to address it when situations like this arise, rather than make people go through a lot of hoops. … I don’t think it’s a great thing, but I’d rather have that than people not wanting the vaccine.”
CNN’s Jamie Gumbrecht, Jacqueline Howard, Jen Christensen, Shawn Nottingham, Jenn Selva, Rose Flores and Sara Weisfeldt contributed to this report.